Probability of two events · Grade 9

In Probability of two events (Grade 9) you practise 6 skills: Probability basics · Events in two stages in a table · With and without replacement · The area model · Probability and expected frequency · Statistics review. In an event in two stages, such as spinning two spinners, each outcome is a pair: what came up first and what came up second. A table with rows for the first stage and columns for the second shows every outcome. When all the outcomes are equally likely, the probability is the number of matching cells over the number of all the cells.

When two balls are taken from a bag, multiply the probabilities of the two stages. With replacement, the second stage is the same as the first. Without replacement, the bag has one ball fewer in the second stage. To find “at least one”, it is easier to work out the complement and subtract it from 1. The expected frequency is the probability times the number of trials. The other way round, the relative frequency in an experiment estimates a probability that cannot be worked out.

Tip: A probability is always between 0 and 1. If you get more than 1, there is a mistake.

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What you learn

Probability basics

For example: A bag contains 9 red balls and 2 blue balls. One ball is taken out without looking. What is the probability of taking out a red ball?

Answer and solution

The answer: 9/11

There are 11 balls in the bag, and 9 of them are red. The probability is: 9/11

Events in two stages in a table

For example:

The table of outcomes: rows by the first spinner, columns by the second, and the sums in the cells
First / second1234
12345
23456
34567
The first spinner has 3 equal parts, numbered 1 to 3. The second has 4 equal parts, numbered 1 to 4. Both are spun. What is the probability that the two numbers add up to 6?

Answer and solution

The answer: 1/6

The number of all the outcomes: 3 × 4 = 12 . The ones you want: (2, 4) , (3, 3) : 2 outcomes. The probability: 2/12 = 1/6

With and without replacement

For example: A bag has 2 red balls and 6 blue balls. A ball is taken out, its colour noted, and it is put back. Then a second ball is taken out. What is the probability that both balls are red?

Answer and solution

The answer: 1/16

First stage: of the 8 balls, 2 are red, so the probability of a red ball is 2/8 . In the second stage the ball is back, so the probability is again 2/8 . Multiply along the branch: 2/8 × 2/8 = 4/64 = 1/16

The area model

For example: A dart lands at random on the board, with the same chance of hitting any point. What is the probability that it hits the shaded region?

Answer and solution

The answer: 1/4

The shaded cells: 4 × 1 = 4 . On the whole board: 4 × 4 = 16 . The probability: 4/16 = 1/4

Probability and expected frequency

For example: An ordinary die is thrown 60 times. About how many times would you expect a number greater than 4?

Answer and solution

The answer: 20

The probability on one throw: 2/6 . The expected frequency: 2/6 × 60 = 20

Statistics review

For example: These are the scores of the students in a group in a test: 86, 56, 77, 61. What is the mean?

Answer and solution

The answer: 70

The sum of the scores: 86 + 56 + 77 + 61 = 280 There are 4 scores: 280 ÷ 4 = 70 The mean is 70.

Not on the site yet

Parts of this topic that are not built yet: Drawing a tree diagram · Reading a tree diagram · Dependent and independent events · Three stages.

The exercises are made by rules and the answers are worked out in code, so there are new exercises every time. The topic follows the Israeli Ministry of Education's grade 9 maths curriculum (2026–27).

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